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Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

Search for Occupational Projection Summaries (2011-2020)

NOTE: Occupational projections are developed for 140 occupations (3-digit NOC). Each 3-digit occupation can be further subdivided in 4-digit occupations (E.g. NOC 313 Pharmacists, Dietitians and Nutritionists can be subdivided in NOC 3131 Pharmacists and NOC 3132 Dietitians and Nutritionists). However, no projections are developed at the 4-digit level. For additional information and occupation definitions, please visit the National Occupational Classification site.

Search Result : Librarians, Archivists, Conservators And Curators (511)

Skill Level
Occupations Usually Requiring University
Occupations in this Group
  • Librarians (5111)
  • Conservators and Curators (5112)
  • Archivists (5113)
Employment (non-student) in 2010
Median Age of workers in 2010
45.1 years old
Average Retirement Age in 2010
61 years old

Over the 2008-2010 period, employment growth in this occupation increased significantly. The unemployment rate also increased, although it remained low (2.3%). According to key labour market indicators, the number of job seekers was sufficient to fill job openings in this occupation.

Over the 2011-2020 period, an occupation will be in excess demand (a shortage of workers) if the projected number of job openings is significantly greater than the projected number of job seekers. An occupation will be in excess supply (a surplus of workers) if the projected number of job openings is smaller than the projected number of job seekers. For Librarians, Archivists, Conservators And Curators, over the 2011-2020 period, job openings (arising from expansion demand and replacement demand) are expected to total 6,250 and 5,390 job seekers (arising from school leavers, immigration and mobility) are expected to be available to fill the job openings.

Based on projections and considering that the labour supply and demand in this occupation were balanced, it is expected that the number of job seekers will continue to be sufficient to fill all the job openings over the 2011-2020 period. With the emergence of new technologies, particularly the Internet, this occupation requires fewer and fewer employees, which explains why employment growth will be very low. However, given that workers in this occupation are on average much older than in other occupations, the retirement rate will be high. With regard to the labour supply, school leavers will be the main sources of job seekers. The number of workers who leave the occupation for another will be much smaller than in recent years.

Projection of Cumulative Job Openings and Job Seekers over the Period of 2011-2020

Level Share
Expansion Demand: 581 9%
Retirements: 4,701 75%
Other Replacement Demand: 658 11%
Emigration: 310 5%
Projected Job Openings: 6,250 100%
Level Share
School Leavers: 3,384 63%
Immigration: 688 13%
Other 1,318 24%
Projected Job Seekers: 5,390 100%


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